The tropical low that was sitting off the coast of Queensland intensified early Thursday morning into what has been named Tropical Cyclone Dylan. It was initially registered as a Category 1 cyclone, but it was upgraded to Category 2 shortly after.
The Bureau of Meteorology is now warning of destructive gusts up to 150km/h near the centre of the storm as well as heavy rain and storm tides. Dylan is currently barrelling its way towards land and is predicted to cross the coast in the coming hours somewhere between the towns of Ayr and Bowen, about 120km south east of Townsville.
Strong winds and waves have been battering locations along the Central Queensland coast since earlier today. The weather station on Hamilton Island in The Whitsundays recorded a wind gust of 130km/h at 6:23pm, while further south in Mackay there was a gust of 98km/h recorded just before 7pm.
Heavy rain has also been affecting various locations. In addition to strong winds, Mackay has received over 90mm of rain. Townsville has so far received around 38mm since midday today. The worst of the storm should be over by midday tomorrow as it weakens while heading further inland.
Thursday, 30 January 2014
Wednesday, 29 January 2014
Temperature shifts in both cities, potential cyclone threatens Queensland coast
Both Sydney and Jyväskylä have seen a return to fairly normal temperatures since the start of the week. After a few cool days over the weekend in Sydney, summery weather is back. It's the same but different for Jyväskylä. A relatively warm weekend made way for a cooler start to the week.
Temperatures topped 30C at Sydney Airport today for the first time since January 18. It hit 30.9C at 3:22pm. The daily minimum of 20.8C was also the highest since January 17. Reasonably strong northerly winds have been around for the past few days along with the warmer weather. Yesterday saw a strongest gust of 65km/h, the strongest since January 15.
Residents on Queensland's Central and North Coast are awaiting more information about a potential cyclone that will impact on Friday morning. A tropical low has been building in the Coral Sea for the past couple of days and currently it is predicted to briefly intensify to a Category 1 cyclone before crossing the coast near Ayr, south of Townsville. It should then weaken as it moves inland. Even if the storm remains a tropical low, strong winds up to 120km/h and storm tides can be expected along the coast between Cairns and Mackay. This would be Queensland's first cyclone of the season.
After a few relatively warm days in Jyväskylä, temperatures dropped back down below -20C this morning to -21.8C. Saturday's -5.9C was the warmest since the initial drop to colder temperatures on January 10, but today has only reached a high of -11.7C. Clear skies have also returned. Even with the additional cloudiness since last Friday, there was hardly any precipitation and the snow depth at Jyväskylä Airport is still only measuring 6cm. Jyväskylä may see snow this Saturday, but otherwise the depth doesn't look like it will be increasing much in the near future.
Temperatures topped 30C at Sydney Airport today for the first time since January 18. It hit 30.9C at 3:22pm. The daily minimum of 20.8C was also the highest since January 17. Reasonably strong northerly winds have been around for the past few days along with the warmer weather. Yesterday saw a strongest gust of 65km/h, the strongest since January 15.
Residents on Queensland's Central and North Coast are awaiting more information about a potential cyclone that will impact on Friday morning. A tropical low has been building in the Coral Sea for the past couple of days and currently it is predicted to briefly intensify to a Category 1 cyclone before crossing the coast near Ayr, south of Townsville. It should then weaken as it moves inland. Even if the storm remains a tropical low, strong winds up to 120km/h and storm tides can be expected along the coast between Cairns and Mackay. This would be Queensland's first cyclone of the season.
After a few relatively warm days in Jyväskylä, temperatures dropped back down below -20C this morning to -21.8C. Saturday's -5.9C was the warmest since the initial drop to colder temperatures on January 10, but today has only reached a high of -11.7C. Clear skies have also returned. Even with the additional cloudiness since last Friday, there was hardly any precipitation and the snow depth at Jyväskylä Airport is still only measuring 6cm. Jyväskylä may see snow this Saturday, but otherwise the depth doesn't look like it will be increasing much in the near future.
Sunday, 26 January 2014
Happy Australia Day
Australia Day 2013 was a fairly cool day in Sydney. I mentioned on Thursday that it needed to top 22.9C to be warmer than 1997, but it just fell short with 22.8C. We have to go back even further to find a cooler January 26. It turns out today was actually the coolest Australia Day since 1965, when it only reached 20.2C.
Around 3am this morning the temperature hit a low of 16.6C. If we look at past results for minimums on January 26, we have to go back to 1976 to find a lower figure, when it dropped to 13.6C. Today's minimum was the lowest of the month so far, and will probably remain that way. It was also the lowest temperature since December 7 last year and the lowest January temperature since January 13 2012.
Not surprisingly, both the minimum and maximum were well below the long term average. The graph below shows Australia Day temperatures at Sydney Airport since 2009, as well as the long term average.
Despite the cooler temperatures, rain did stay away for almost the whole day. Sydney Airport recorded 0.6mm around 4am. This raised the monthly total to 11.2mm, a total which is still the lowest since at least 2004. Observatory Hill recorded a brief shower before 4.30pm, but there weren't any significant falls in the Sydney region. The BoM forecast currently supports the idea of no further falls for the remainder of the month with warm and sunny conditions expected during the coming week.
Around 3am this morning the temperature hit a low of 16.6C. If we look at past results for minimums on January 26, we have to go back to 1976 to find a lower figure, when it dropped to 13.6C. Today's minimum was the lowest of the month so far, and will probably remain that way. It was also the lowest temperature since December 7 last year and the lowest January temperature since January 13 2012.
Not surprisingly, both the minimum and maximum were well below the long term average. The graph below shows Australia Day temperatures at Sydney Airport since 2009, as well as the long term average.
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| Australia Day temperatures at Sydney Airport for the period 2009-2014 plus the long term average |
Despite the cooler temperatures, rain did stay away for almost the whole day. Sydney Airport recorded 0.6mm around 4am. This raised the monthly total to 11.2mm, a total which is still the lowest since at least 2004. Observatory Hill recorded a brief shower before 4.30pm, but there weren't any significant falls in the Sydney region. The BoM forecast currently supports the idea of no further falls for the remainder of the month with warm and sunny conditions expected during the coming week.
Thursday, 23 January 2014
-25C barrier broken in Jyväskylä, rain on the way for Sydney
Well I'm just going to say it. It's bloody cold here in Jyväskylä. Temperatures dropped below -25C this morning for the first time this winter. The low of -26.0C just before 9am is now the lowest minimum of the month. Temperatures dropped from about -15C early yesterday afternoon to -23C last night, before dropping further in the early hours of today.
With today's top of -16.5C, there have now been 8 consecutive days entirely below -10C. Tomorrow should be number 9 before it warms slightly on Saturday, perhaps as high as -8 or -9C. Currently just after 6pm it's hovering around -25C.
Having a look at previous years, this January already appears as though it will be colder than the 2009, 2011 and 2013 editions. If current forecasts stay true, it's also likely to be colder than the January of 2012. By the end of the month, only January 2010 will have had more days entirely below -10C. It's quite an achievement considering the first 10 days this year had averages ranging from -1.0C to 1.4C. No other January since 2009 has had a 10 day period warmer than this year. It has been a complete turnaround since then though. From January 11 to 23 the averages have ranged from -19.4C to -12.0C.
Intermittent showers have continued in Sydney over the past few days. Temperatures have been as predicted also with today's 26.0C being the highest since Monday. Yesterday only reached a high of 23.5C. Despite the showers, there haven't been any substantial falls. Yesterday's 3.4mm is the highest daily rainfall so far this month. Also, most of the rain that has fallen has done so during the evening or late at night.
Tomorrow may see a change to that though. A trough moving east across New South Wales should generate falls throughout most of the state. The Bureau of Meterology is currently predicting Sydney to see falls between 4 and 15mm as rain develops during the afternoon.
At the moment, Australia Day on Sunday will be cooler than average. The predicted top of 23C is a few degrees below the long term average of 26.7C. If it only reaches as high as 24C, it will be the coolest Australia Day since 1997 when it only got to 22.9C.
With today's top of -16.5C, there have now been 8 consecutive days entirely below -10C. Tomorrow should be number 9 before it warms slightly on Saturday, perhaps as high as -8 or -9C. Currently just after 6pm it's hovering around -25C.
Having a look at previous years, this January already appears as though it will be colder than the 2009, 2011 and 2013 editions. If current forecasts stay true, it's also likely to be colder than the January of 2012. By the end of the month, only January 2010 will have had more days entirely below -10C. It's quite an achievement considering the first 10 days this year had averages ranging from -1.0C to 1.4C. No other January since 2009 has had a 10 day period warmer than this year. It has been a complete turnaround since then though. From January 11 to 23 the averages have ranged from -19.4C to -12.0C.
Intermittent showers have continued in Sydney over the past few days. Temperatures have been as predicted also with today's 26.0C being the highest since Monday. Yesterday only reached a high of 23.5C. Despite the showers, there haven't been any substantial falls. Yesterday's 3.4mm is the highest daily rainfall so far this month. Also, most of the rain that has fallen has done so during the evening or late at night.
Tomorrow may see a change to that though. A trough moving east across New South Wales should generate falls throughout most of the state. The Bureau of Meterology is currently predicting Sydney to see falls between 4 and 15mm as rain develops during the afternoon.
At the moment, Australia Day on Sunday will be cooler than average. The predicted top of 23C is a few degrees below the long term average of 26.7C. If it only reaches as high as 24C, it will be the coolest Australia Day since 1997 when it only got to 22.9C.
Monday, 20 January 2014
Dry weather comes to an end
Brief showers early this morning and later in the evening have helped to ease the relatively dry start to the year in Sydney. With the first 20 days of the year completed, it's actually the driest start to a year at Sydney Airport since 1965. The current rainfall for the month stands at only 3.0mm, 1.8mm of which fell today. In 1965 only 2.7mm had fallen at the same point.
If we look at how rainfall accumulated during each January in the 10 year period between 2004 and 2013, plus the first 20 days of 2014, we get a graph like the one below.
The red line at the bottom of the graph representing 2014 is more than 15mm below 8 of the past 10 years. It's worth keeping in mind that the figures for 2004 to 2013 are measurements made during the 24 hour period to 9am on each respective date. 2014's results are based on 24 hour calendar day periods. The long term average rainfall for January is 94.6mm, so unless there are some heavy falls in the next week and a half, it looks unlikely for the monthly rainfall to get close to that mark.
Temperatures over the weekend were slightly below average. After 4 consecutive days above 30C, 25.5C and 26.2C might have been welcomed by some. The next few days should be a little cooler than average as well. During the next 7 days a maximum of only 26C is forecast. There will probably be some more rain around as well, although no significant falls are predicted. Of course, it's quite possible that heavy and isolated falls may occur during these periods of unsettled weather.
With the recent drop in temperatures, Jyväskylä has also been experiencing an extended dry spell. Of the first 9 days of the month, precipitation fell on 8. After that, in the 10 days of January 10 to 19, only 0.1mm was recorded on January 14. However, like Sydney, precipitation has been recorded in Jyväskylä today. 0.9mm had fallen by 5pm taking the monthly total to 12.2mm.
Temperatures defied the forecast once again on Saturday as -22.1C was recorded, the first day below -20C for the winter. You have to go all the way back to March 22 last year to find the previous instance. The minimums from Sunday and today followed Saturday's example, dropping to -23.0C and -23.2C respectively. Saturday January 18 also took the lowest daily maximum of the month so far with a top of -14.7C.
As it was a few days ago, a similar combination of cold temperatures and sun looks set to continue for the time being.
If we look at how rainfall accumulated during each January in the 10 year period between 2004 and 2013, plus the first 20 days of 2014, we get a graph like the one below.
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| Cumulative rainfall at Sydney Airport for each January during the period 2004-2014 |
Temperatures over the weekend were slightly below average. After 4 consecutive days above 30C, 25.5C and 26.2C might have been welcomed by some. The next few days should be a little cooler than average as well. During the next 7 days a maximum of only 26C is forecast. There will probably be some more rain around as well, although no significant falls are predicted. Of course, it's quite possible that heavy and isolated falls may occur during these periods of unsettled weather.
With the recent drop in temperatures, Jyväskylä has also been experiencing an extended dry spell. Of the first 9 days of the month, precipitation fell on 8. After that, in the 10 days of January 10 to 19, only 0.1mm was recorded on January 14. However, like Sydney, precipitation has been recorded in Jyväskylä today. 0.9mm had fallen by 5pm taking the monthly total to 12.2mm.
Temperatures defied the forecast once again on Saturday as -22.1C was recorded, the first day below -20C for the winter. You have to go all the way back to March 22 last year to find the previous instance. The minimums from Sunday and today followed Saturday's example, dropping to -23.0C and -23.2C respectively. Saturday January 18 also took the lowest daily maximum of the month so far with a top of -14.7C.
As it was a few days ago, a similar combination of cold temperatures and sun looks set to continue for the time being.
Friday, 17 January 2014
Cold weather to continue in Jyväskylä, heatwave comes to an end in Australia
The current cold snap in Finland should continue for the time being. Since Sunday January 11 the warmest temperature has been -9.8C, while the current monthly low of -18.3C came this morning. It only reached a top of -13.3C today. The -20C barrier still hasn't been broken yet this winter, but it might come close on Monday morning.
Despite a minimal snow depth of 3cm, the cold temperatures and resulting frost have helped to create a wintry landscape in Jyväskylä. The lower temperatures have also reduced levels of slipperiness on paths and roads. An unusual sight was witnessed yesterday near Salo in the country's south; ice flowers on a frozen lake. Jyväskylä looks something like below.
It's quite remarkable to think that the temperature difference between Jyväskylä and some Australian locations in the past few days has been 60C. The heatwave affecting the south east of Australia finally came to end this evening. The cities of Adelaide and Melbourne, along with regional centres elsewhere in South Australia, Victoria and also New South Wales, have sweltered since the beginning of the week.
A few stats from this week include Melbourne's daily maximums from Tuesday. They read 42.8C, 41.7C, 43.9C and 43.9C. This was the first time ever that Melbourne had recorded 4 days in a row above 41C. Adelaide saw 5 days at 42C or higher with readings since Monday of 42.1C, 45.1C, 43.7C, 44.2C and 42.7C. Tuesday's 45.1C was the 3rd highest ever recorded for Adelaide.
As I mentioned in my previous post, Sydney had been predicted to avoid the worst of the heat, and that's exactly what happened. The Airport has posted 3 consecutive days above 30C since Wednesday, but with a top of 31.3C, it's nothing compared to Adelaide and Melbourne. As is normal, the city's western suburbs have had it worse than coastal areas. Penrith has seen 4 consecutive days above 35C since Tuesday with a maximum of 39.2C on Wednesday. It'll be another warm day in Sydney tomorrow with 31C predicted again.
Despite a minimal snow depth of 3cm, the cold temperatures and resulting frost have helped to create a wintry landscape in Jyväskylä. The lower temperatures have also reduced levels of slipperiness on paths and roads. An unusual sight was witnessed yesterday near Salo in the country's south; ice flowers on a frozen lake. Jyväskylä looks something like below.
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| Puistokatu in Jyväskylä on January 17 |
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| Ice crystals on a window as the sun sits low on the horizon around 12:30pm |
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| There isn't a lot of snow around, but it is still quite frosty |
It's quite remarkable to think that the temperature difference between Jyväskylä and some Australian locations in the past few days has been 60C. The heatwave affecting the south east of Australia finally came to end this evening. The cities of Adelaide and Melbourne, along with regional centres elsewhere in South Australia, Victoria and also New South Wales, have sweltered since the beginning of the week.
A few stats from this week include Melbourne's daily maximums from Tuesday. They read 42.8C, 41.7C, 43.9C and 43.9C. This was the first time ever that Melbourne had recorded 4 days in a row above 41C. Adelaide saw 5 days at 42C or higher with readings since Monday of 42.1C, 45.1C, 43.7C, 44.2C and 42.7C. Tuesday's 45.1C was the 3rd highest ever recorded for Adelaide.
As I mentioned in my previous post, Sydney had been predicted to avoid the worst of the heat, and that's exactly what happened. The Airport has posted 3 consecutive days above 30C since Wednesday, but with a top of 31.3C, it's nothing compared to Adelaide and Melbourne. As is normal, the city's western suburbs have had it worse than coastal areas. Penrith has seen 4 consecutive days above 35C since Tuesday with a maximum of 39.2C on Wednesday. It'll be another warm day in Sydney tomorrow with 31C predicted again.
Monday, 13 January 2014
Heatwave in Australia moves east, real winter hits Finland
Many locations throughout Australia will experience intense heat in the coming days. The centre and south-east of the country will be the worst affected with the capitals of Adelaide and Melbourne predicted to see daily maximums at 40C or above for the next 4 days.
The climb in temperatures is due to northerly winds being generated by a high pressure system sitting off the east coast of Australia. Unfortunately it won't be surprising to see severe bushfires in the coming days in South Australia, Victoria and inland New South Wales as a result of the soaring temperatures.
Similar conditions were already seen in Perth during the weekend. Perth Metro's weather station on Saturday saw a top of 43.3C and Sunday reached 41.0C. 43.3C was the hottest January temperature measured at the station since records began in 1994. It was also the highest temperature since December 26 2007 when it reached 44.2C. A bushfire claimed one man's life yesterday 25km west of the city.
Typically Sydney escapes the heat seen in Adelaide and Melbourne during these events thanks to its location, which avoids hot inland northerly winds, and this time will be no different. Temperatures there are only predicted to reach 28C and 29C during the next few days. I highly doubt anybody would complain about that though considering there'll only be sun, sun and just a little bit more sun.
Meanwhile in Jyväskylä, the big winter jacket has finally made an appearance. Locations throughout Finland are seeing more typical winter conditions at last. Temperatures in Jyväskylä dropped below -15C in the last hour for the first time this winter. I've brought back a table I posted about a month ago, this time updated with today's achievement.
The 5 day forecast for Jyväskylä currently shows nothing warmer than -14C and it could drop as low as -20C by tomorrow morning. Locations in the far north have seen it go below -30C in the past 24hrs and even Helsinki and Turku are experiencing temperatures below -10C.
The climb in temperatures is due to northerly winds being generated by a high pressure system sitting off the east coast of Australia. Unfortunately it won't be surprising to see severe bushfires in the coming days in South Australia, Victoria and inland New South Wales as a result of the soaring temperatures.
Similar conditions were already seen in Perth during the weekend. Perth Metro's weather station on Saturday saw a top of 43.3C and Sunday reached 41.0C. 43.3C was the hottest January temperature measured at the station since records began in 1994. It was also the highest temperature since December 26 2007 when it reached 44.2C. A bushfire claimed one man's life yesterday 25km west of the city.
Typically Sydney escapes the heat seen in Adelaide and Melbourne during these events thanks to its location, which avoids hot inland northerly winds, and this time will be no different. Temperatures there are only predicted to reach 28C and 29C during the next few days. I highly doubt anybody would complain about that though considering there'll only be sun, sun and just a little bit more sun.
Meanwhile in Jyväskylä, the big winter jacket has finally made an appearance. Locations throughout Finland are seeing more typical winter conditions at last. Temperatures in Jyväskylä dropped below -15C in the last hour for the first time this winter. I've brought back a table I posted about a month ago, this time updated with today's achievement.
The 5 day forecast for Jyväskylä currently shows nothing warmer than -14C and it could drop as low as -20C by tomorrow morning. Locations in the far north have seen it go below -30C in the past 24hrs and even Helsinki and Turku are experiencing temperatures below -10C.
Friday, 10 January 2014
Cold weather on the way for Jyväskylä, summer resumes in Sydney
After what seems like months, temperatures in Jyväskylä are finally on the way down. The warm southerlies that have been keeping temperatures above zero have finally moved on and moderate northeasterlies are bringing a wave of cold air from northern Russia and the Arctic. Today has seen temperatures fall from 0.5C just after 9am to -4.4C by 4:30pm. It doesn't seem like such a big drop, but it's almost as big a difference as that seen in the 22 days between December 19 and January 9. In that period the temperature only ranged between -1.7C and 4.9C.
The FMI forecast for the coming 5 days shows minus temperatures throughout. It could potentially drop as low as -12C on Sunday. It's quite probable that it will drop further than that as well. Foreca's 10 day forecast also predicts temperatures around -10C at least until January 19.
What might be considered as the only problem with the coming cold, is that there is hardly any snow to accompany it. Jyväskylä at this moment is seeing a light dusting, but it shouldn't be more than a couple of centimetres, and forecasts show hardly any precipitation in the coming week.
Sydney saw a return to typical summer conditions today after a few cool days mid-week. The temperature reached a nice and warm 27.8C at the Airport by the late afternoon. The start of the week saw the second day of the month above 30C, but Tuesday and Wednesday had tops of only 22.4C and 21.6C. In addition to the lowest maximum, Wednesday saw the lowest temperature for January so far with a minimum of 16.9C. This was also the coldest temperature in just over a month; December 7 had a minimum of 14.0C.
There were a few showers around Sydney in the early hours of the morning. At the Airport a recording of 0.6mm doubled the monthly total, which now stands at 1.2mm. Rain should stay away for most of the coming week though. Warm, sunny conditions and daily maximums between 25C and 29C are predicted at least until next Friday.
The FMI forecast for the coming 5 days shows minus temperatures throughout. It could potentially drop as low as -12C on Sunday. It's quite probable that it will drop further than that as well. Foreca's 10 day forecast also predicts temperatures around -10C at least until January 19.
What might be considered as the only problem with the coming cold, is that there is hardly any snow to accompany it. Jyväskylä at this moment is seeing a light dusting, but it shouldn't be more than a couple of centimetres, and forecasts show hardly any precipitation in the coming week.
Sydney saw a return to typical summer conditions today after a few cool days mid-week. The temperature reached a nice and warm 27.8C at the Airport by the late afternoon. The start of the week saw the second day of the month above 30C, but Tuesday and Wednesday had tops of only 22.4C and 21.6C. In addition to the lowest maximum, Wednesday saw the lowest temperature for January so far with a minimum of 16.9C. This was also the coldest temperature in just over a month; December 7 had a minimum of 14.0C.
There were a few showers around Sydney in the early hours of the morning. At the Airport a recording of 0.6mm doubled the monthly total, which now stands at 1.2mm. Rain should stay away for most of the coming week though. Warm, sunny conditions and daily maximums between 25C and 29C are predicted at least until next Friday.
Thursday, 9 January 2014
2013 Yearly Review - Jyväskylä
Like Sydney, albeit on an entirely different level, 2013 was a rather warm year for Jyväskylä. While it didn't see the heat extremes of 2010, mild temperatures, particularly towards the end of the year, helped make 2013 one of the warmest on record. According to the Finnish Meteorological Institute, the yearly average temperature throughout Finland was the 6th highest since records began in 1847.
When comparing 2013's results for Jyväskylä against 1981-2010 averages, only the months of March, April and July had lower values. The month of March was particularly cold with the 4th lowest average temperature since 1961. It was also the coldest month of the 2012/13 winter (December-March); only the 9th time March has been the coldest winter month since 1900/01. On the other hand, December was especially warm. It was the 5th warmest since 1961.
If we look at average minimums and maximums of 2013, March had the lowest average minimum of the year while January was responsible for the lowest average maximum. February is typically the coldest month of the year. June turned out to be the warmest month of the year with both the highest average minimum and maximum, titles typically held by July. The graph below shows the monthly averages for 2013. The dotted lines represent the 1981-2010 average.
The highest temperature recorded in 2013 was 30.2C on June 27. This was the only day of the year to peak above 30C. June 27 was also responsible for the highest minimum of 18.1C. The lowest temperature of the year of -29.2C was recorded on January 18. The 18th was also the coldest day of the year with the daily maximum not going above -21.2C.
The following graph shows the extremes of the past 5 years; the number of days with measurements below -20C and above 25C in Jyväskylä in the period 2009-2013. 2013 was the only year of the past 5 to have more days above 25C than below -20C.
Another couple of statistical figures of 2013 include the fact that there were a total of 202 days that didn't drop below 0C. This was the highest of the 2009-2013 period, just beating 2011 which had 201 days. For the number of days entirely below 0C, 2011 had the least of the 5 years with 63 days. There were 81 days entirely below 0C in 2013, compared to 100 in 2012, 103 in 2009 and 120 in 2010.
Rainfall was above average throughout most of Central Finland. According to the map shown here, Jyväskylä was slightly above average. However, looking at monthly statistics on the FMI site, rainfall was just below average. A total of 639mm was recorded, compared to the 1981-2010 average of 643mm. The monthly figures could have been rounded down to whole numbers.
At a monthly level, there were 4 months of the year above their respective averages; June, August, November and December. The wettest month was June with 95mm, 42% above average. The summer months accounted for just over 40% of the yearly total. The driest month was May during which only 16mm was recorded, 36% of the average. The most anomalous month was December with a monthly recording 47% above average.
A few strong storms affected large parts of Finland towards the end of the year. Eino, Oskari and Seija were responsible for strong winds, fallen trees and electrical blackouts. Coastal areas were the worst affected. Jyväskylä escaped the brunt of the storms but still saw winds gusts above 20m/s.
Looking at 2013 and its overall average temperatures, it's hard not to compare it to 2011. The biggest similarity of 2011 and 2013 was that both ended with unusually warm Decembers. One thing that is interesting to note is that, on the back of that extremely warm December 2011, late January and early February 2012 saw one of the coldest periods of the last 5 years. 2012 was also a much cooler year as a whole. Maybe 2014 has something similar to offer.
When comparing 2013's results for Jyväskylä against 1981-2010 averages, only the months of March, April and July had lower values. The month of March was particularly cold with the 4th lowest average temperature since 1961. It was also the coldest month of the 2012/13 winter (December-March); only the 9th time March has been the coldest winter month since 1900/01. On the other hand, December was especially warm. It was the 5th warmest since 1961.
If we look at average minimums and maximums of 2013, March had the lowest average minimum of the year while January was responsible for the lowest average maximum. February is typically the coldest month of the year. June turned out to be the warmest month of the year with both the highest average minimum and maximum, titles typically held by July. The graph below shows the monthly averages for 2013. The dotted lines represent the 1981-2010 average.
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| Monthly averages at Jyväskylä Airport in 2013 (plus dotted line for 1981-2010 averages) |
The highest temperature recorded in 2013 was 30.2C on June 27. This was the only day of the year to peak above 30C. June 27 was also responsible for the highest minimum of 18.1C. The lowest temperature of the year of -29.2C was recorded on January 18. The 18th was also the coldest day of the year with the daily maximum not going above -21.2C.
The following graph shows the extremes of the past 5 years; the number of days with measurements below -20C and above 25C in Jyväskylä in the period 2009-2013. 2013 was the only year of the past 5 to have more days above 25C than below -20C.
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| Number of days below -20C and above 25C in the period 2009-2013 |
Another couple of statistical figures of 2013 include the fact that there were a total of 202 days that didn't drop below 0C. This was the highest of the 2009-2013 period, just beating 2011 which had 201 days. For the number of days entirely below 0C, 2011 had the least of the 5 years with 63 days. There were 81 days entirely below 0C in 2013, compared to 100 in 2012, 103 in 2009 and 120 in 2010.
Rainfall was above average throughout most of Central Finland. According to the map shown here, Jyväskylä was slightly above average. However, looking at monthly statistics on the FMI site, rainfall was just below average. A total of 639mm was recorded, compared to the 1981-2010 average of 643mm. The monthly figures could have been rounded down to whole numbers.
At a monthly level, there were 4 months of the year above their respective averages; June, August, November and December. The wettest month was June with 95mm, 42% above average. The summer months accounted for just over 40% of the yearly total. The driest month was May during which only 16mm was recorded, 36% of the average. The most anomalous month was December with a monthly recording 47% above average.
A few strong storms affected large parts of Finland towards the end of the year. Eino, Oskari and Seija were responsible for strong winds, fallen trees and electrical blackouts. Coastal areas were the worst affected. Jyväskylä escaped the brunt of the storms but still saw winds gusts above 20m/s.
Looking at 2013 and its overall average temperatures, it's hard not to compare it to 2011. The biggest similarity of 2011 and 2013 was that both ended with unusually warm Decembers. One thing that is interesting to note is that, on the back of that extremely warm December 2011, late January and early February 2012 saw one of the coldest periods of the last 5 years. 2012 was also a much cooler year as a whole. Maybe 2014 has something similar to offer.
Wednesday, 8 January 2014
2013 Yearly Review - Sydney
2013 was a warm year. In fact, on a national scale, 2013 was the hottest year on record. Before we look at how Sydney fared, let's look at the conditions seen throughout Australia. The video below, the Annual Climate Statement 2013, was released by the Bureau of Meteorology on January 2 2014.
In Sydney, January was the warmest month of the year with both the highest average maximum and minimum. June had the lowest average maximum and July the lowest average minimum. The graph below shows the monthly averages for 2013. The dotted lines represent the long term average.
It's clear to see that 2013's monthly figures beat every long term average. Winter minimums, plus those in September, were well above the long term averages, as were the maximums of July through to October. If we look at extremes for the year, the highest temperature was 46.4C on January 4 and the lowest was 5.2C on July 7. The lowest maximum was 13.2C on June 22 and the highest minimum was 23.8C on January 26.
Using Bureau of Meteorology measurements at Sydney Airport, some of the temperature records for 2013 include:
My own records, which are based on recordings during a calendar day (i.e. midnight to midnight), differ slightly from some of the above values. These include:
Despite 2013 being the warmest on record, rainfall was still above the long term average. A total of 1246.0mm was recorded. This is compared to the long term average of 1084.8mm. 2012's measurement was 973.4mm. 2013's figure was 5.1mm short of 2011's mark, but prior to that you have to go back to 1999 to find a wetter year.
June was the wettest month with 305.6mm recorded. Only 15.6mm fell in August, making it the driest. The wettest day was January 28/29 with 104.6mm recorded in the 24hrs to 9am on the 29th. There was a total of 246 days, 67.4% of the year, without rain. Of the 119 days with rain, more than half, 65, had recordings at 5.0mm or less and only 7 days saw falls at or above 50.0mm.
The longest spell without rain was a 5 week period between August 9 and September 14. A 10 day period between June 22 and July 1 saw some level of precipitation every day, making it the longest rainy period of the year.
As usual in Sydney, there were a few windy days during 2013. The strongest gust of the year was 94km/h. This was recorded more than once. A westerly gust on August 12 was the first occurrence. A southerly on October 29 and another westerly on December 5 were the other two. I recall the October and December gusts originally being recorded at 95km/h on the respective days, as can be found in my previous blog posts, but it appears that BoM have updated them to 94km/h. The calmest day was July 13 with a strongest gust of only 19km/h.
It was an eventful year that broke several records. The third quarter of the year was the most unusual. A warm and mostly dry July, August and September made way for bushfires which raged around Sydney already in October. Several days soared above 30C in early spring and, in the end, it was the warmest year on record. You have to wonder what will come next, so let's see what 2014 will produce.
2013 was quite a remarkable year in terms of weather, particularly because of the warm temperatures experienced throughout Australia. This is further supported by temperatures and weather conditions seen in Sydney. In Sydney, January was the warmest month of the year with both the highest average maximum and minimum. June had the lowest average maximum and July the lowest average minimum. The graph below shows the monthly averages for 2013. The dotted lines represent the long term average.
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| Monthly averages at Sydney Airport in 2013 (plus dotted line for long term averages) |
It's clear to see that 2013's monthly figures beat every long term average. Winter minimums, plus those in September, were well above the long term averages, as were the maximums of July through to October. If we look at extremes for the year, the highest temperature was 46.4C on January 4 and the lowest was 5.2C on July 7. The lowest maximum was 13.2C on June 22 and the highest minimum was 23.8C on January 26.
Using Bureau of Meteorology measurements at Sydney Airport, some of the temperature records for 2013 include:
- Sydney Airport saw its hottest temperature ever recorded - 46.4C on January 4 beat 45.2C from January 1 2006.
- July had the highest average maximum on record - 19.6C beat 18.7C which was shared by 1946, 1975 and 2005.
- September had the highest average maximum on record - 25.2C beat 24.0C from 1980.
- September also had the highest average minimum on record - 13.8C beat 13.2C from 2006.
- The yearly average maximum was the highest on record - 24.0C beat 23.4C which was shared by 2005 and 2009.
My own records, which are based on recordings during a calendar day (i.e. midnight to midnight), differ slightly from some of the above values. These include:
- 25.1C as the average maximum for September.
- 13.7C as the average minimum for September.
- 24.1C as the yearly average maximum for 2013.
- 23.1C as the yearly average maximum for 2009.
Despite 2013 being the warmest on record, rainfall was still above the long term average. A total of 1246.0mm was recorded. This is compared to the long term average of 1084.8mm. 2012's measurement was 973.4mm. 2013's figure was 5.1mm short of 2011's mark, but prior to that you have to go back to 1999 to find a wetter year.
June was the wettest month with 305.6mm recorded. Only 15.6mm fell in August, making it the driest. The wettest day was January 28/29 with 104.6mm recorded in the 24hrs to 9am on the 29th. There was a total of 246 days, 67.4% of the year, without rain. Of the 119 days with rain, more than half, 65, had recordings at 5.0mm or less and only 7 days saw falls at or above 50.0mm.
The longest spell without rain was a 5 week period between August 9 and September 14. A 10 day period between June 22 and July 1 saw some level of precipitation every day, making it the longest rainy period of the year.
As usual in Sydney, there were a few windy days during 2013. The strongest gust of the year was 94km/h. This was recorded more than once. A westerly gust on August 12 was the first occurrence. A southerly on October 29 and another westerly on December 5 were the other two. I recall the October and December gusts originally being recorded at 95km/h on the respective days, as can be found in my previous blog posts, but it appears that BoM have updated them to 94km/h. The calmest day was July 13 with a strongest gust of only 19km/h.
It was an eventful year that broke several records. The third quarter of the year was the most unusual. A warm and mostly dry July, August and September made way for bushfires which raged around Sydney already in October. Several days soared above 30C in early spring and, in the end, it was the warmest year on record. You have to wonder what will come next, so let's see what 2014 will produce.
Sunday, 5 January 2014
Foggy start to the day in Jyväskylä, warm but breezy in Sydney
Fog blanketed Jyväskylä this morning as temperatures once again hovered above zero. Friday January 3 saw the first day entirely below zero since December 14 with a maximum of -1.0C, but temperatures rose yesterday to 0.3C. While there has been hardly any precipitation (only 0.2mm has been recorded at Jyväskylä Airport in the past 2 days), the air is very moist. Humidity levels have been around 95% for the past 36 hours.
This current weather trend should continue until Thursday night. Forecasts predict a drop in temperatures on Friday and into the weekend. Foreca's 10 day forecast for Jyväskylä shows a low of -12C for Friday, Saturday and Sunday, with cold temperatures continuing into early next week.
It was another nice summer's day in Sydney. The first 5 days of 2014 have been the warmest in the years since 2009. The daily maximum today was 29.0C. With a top of 36.8C, Thursday January 2 was the 6th warmest January day of the past 6 years. Minimums for the last 4 days have also been above 20C.
While it was warm in Sydney today, northerly and northeasterly winds were fairly strong. The strongest gust of the day, 72km/h, was recorded this evening at 6:26pm. Wind gusts above 50km/h had been measured since 1pm.
Sydney is in for a few cooler days between Tuesday and Thursday. Temperatures are predicted to reach only 22C on Tuesday and Wednesday and 23C on Thursday. There is also the chance of showers along with the lower temperatures.
This current weather trend should continue until Thursday night. Forecasts predict a drop in temperatures on Friday and into the weekend. Foreca's 10 day forecast for Jyväskylä shows a low of -12C for Friday, Saturday and Sunday, with cold temperatures continuing into early next week.
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| Fog in Jyväskylä on the morning of January 5 2014 |
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| The cloudiness measurement at Jyväskylä Airport was reading 9/8 between 6am and 11am |
It was another nice summer's day in Sydney. The first 5 days of 2014 have been the warmest in the years since 2009. The daily maximum today was 29.0C. With a top of 36.8C, Thursday January 2 was the 6th warmest January day of the past 6 years. Minimums for the last 4 days have also been above 20C.
While it was warm in Sydney today, northerly and northeasterly winds were fairly strong. The strongest gust of the day, 72km/h, was recorded this evening at 6:26pm. Wind gusts above 50km/h had been measured since 1pm.
Sydney is in for a few cooler days between Tuesday and Thursday. Temperatures are predicted to reach only 22C on Tuesday and Wednesday and 23C on Thursday. There is also the chance of showers along with the lower temperatures.
Friday, 3 January 2014
December 2013 Review - Jyväskylä
December 2013 in Jyväskylä was a strange month in terms of weather. Even though the start of the month was warmer than some previous Decembers, there were some hints of an approaching winter, but it ended with warm weather, rain and questions being asked about when the true Finnish winter would really begin. The table below shows the averages since 2008.
The average maximum of 1.7C was the warmest in the years since 2008, beating 2011's 1.6C. According to the Finnish Meteorological Institute, the overall average temperature for December 2013 in Jyväskylä was more than 5C higher than the 1981-2010 average. The strangest part about the warm weather in December was that it came towards the end of the month. The final 11 days had an average maximum of 4.0C. The same period in 2011 had an average of 1.7C while 2010's figure was -14.6C.
December 2011 held on to the highest average minimum of the 2008-2013 period though, as 2013's -3.3C was over a degree cooler. This is somewhat surprising considering there were a total of 13 days that didn't go below zero in 2013 compared to 7 in 2011 and 5 in 2008. Every December day in 2009, 2010 and 2012 went below zero at some point. However, 2011 had only 1 daily minimum below -10C compared to 5 for 2013.
In terms of extremes for the month, both the highest maximum of 5.9C from December 17 and the highest minimum of 3.4C from December 28 were the highest respective figures in the period since 2008. The lowest temperature of the month of -14.6C, as well as the lowest daily maximum of -6.2C, occurred on December 9. These figures were lower than those in both 2008 and 2011, but were still easily above those in 2009, 2010 and 2012.
Extremes elsewhere in Finland included a monthly high of 8.6C in Maarianhamina in the Åland Islands and a monthly low of -39.7C in Sodankylä in Lapland.
If we look at the past 6 Decembers in Jyväskylä, it is quite easy to divide them in to warm and cold ones. There are the warm Decembers of 2008, 2011 and 2013 and the cold Decembers of 2009, 2010 and 2012. The graph below shows the daily average temperature during each December.
The graph makes the distinction between the warm and cold Decembers much clearer. The yellow line, which indicates 2013, can also be seen above other years for the last 12 days, further highlighting the unusual warmth that was experienced.
Rainfall for December 2013 was above the 1981-2010 average. A total of 69mm was recorded in Jyväskylä, compared to 56mm last year and the average of 47mm. Snow was around for most of the first half of the month. A depth of 7cm was recorded on December 15, but the warm temperatures in the latter half of the month ensured there was no snow for Christmas or New Year's Eve. Kilpisjärvi in the far north had 117cm on December 4. By the end of the month this had dropped to 106cm.
Warm, humid southwesterly and southerly winds dominated for most of the month, contributing to the warmer temperatures. There were a couple of windy days to note, including December 1 and 13, when the storms Oskari and Seija hit Finland.
In the end it was a disappointing December that, while featuring a few cooler days at the beginning of the month, failed to deliver a white Christmas and New Year. Perhaps winter will arrive in January.
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| December averages in Jyväskylä for the period 2008-2013 |
The average maximum of 1.7C was the warmest in the years since 2008, beating 2011's 1.6C. According to the Finnish Meteorological Institute, the overall average temperature for December 2013 in Jyväskylä was more than 5C higher than the 1981-2010 average. The strangest part about the warm weather in December was that it came towards the end of the month. The final 11 days had an average maximum of 4.0C. The same period in 2011 had an average of 1.7C while 2010's figure was -14.6C.
December 2011 held on to the highest average minimum of the 2008-2013 period though, as 2013's -3.3C was over a degree cooler. This is somewhat surprising considering there were a total of 13 days that didn't go below zero in 2013 compared to 7 in 2011 and 5 in 2008. Every December day in 2009, 2010 and 2012 went below zero at some point. However, 2011 had only 1 daily minimum below -10C compared to 5 for 2013.
In terms of extremes for the month, both the highest maximum of 5.9C from December 17 and the highest minimum of 3.4C from December 28 were the highest respective figures in the period since 2008. The lowest temperature of the month of -14.6C, as well as the lowest daily maximum of -6.2C, occurred on December 9. These figures were lower than those in both 2008 and 2011, but were still easily above those in 2009, 2010 and 2012.
Extremes elsewhere in Finland included a monthly high of 8.6C in Maarianhamina in the Åland Islands and a monthly low of -39.7C in Sodankylä in Lapland.
If we look at the past 6 Decembers in Jyväskylä, it is quite easy to divide them in to warm and cold ones. There are the warm Decembers of 2008, 2011 and 2013 and the cold Decembers of 2009, 2010 and 2012. The graph below shows the daily average temperature during each December.
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| Daily average temperatures in Jyväskylä for December in the period 2008-2013 |
The graph makes the distinction between the warm and cold Decembers much clearer. The yellow line, which indicates 2013, can also be seen above other years for the last 12 days, further highlighting the unusual warmth that was experienced.
Rainfall for December 2013 was above the 1981-2010 average. A total of 69mm was recorded in Jyväskylä, compared to 56mm last year and the average of 47mm. Snow was around for most of the first half of the month. A depth of 7cm was recorded on December 15, but the warm temperatures in the latter half of the month ensured there was no snow for Christmas or New Year's Eve. Kilpisjärvi in the far north had 117cm on December 4. By the end of the month this had dropped to 106cm.
Warm, humid southwesterly and southerly winds dominated for most of the month, contributing to the warmer temperatures. There were a couple of windy days to note, including December 1 and 13, when the storms Oskari and Seija hit Finland.
In the end it was a disappointing December that, while featuring a few cooler days at the beginning of the month, failed to deliver a white Christmas and New Year. Perhaps winter will arrive in January.
Thursday, 2 January 2014
December 2013 Review - Sydney
2013 ended with a rather warm December for Sydney. With an average maximum of 27.3C at Sydney Airport, it was easily above the long term average of 25.7C. It was also the warmest December in the years since 2009. According to Bureau of Meteorology records prior to that, it was the warmest December since 2005. The following table shows the averages since 2009.
While the average maximum was the highest, the average minimum was the second lowest. Only 2011's cool December was lower. However, the figure was still above the long term average of 17.5C.
The lowest temperature of the month of 13.1C came on December 6, also the second lowest in the years since 2009. The highest daily minimum of 21.6C came on December 22, right in the middle for the past 5 years. The highest temperature of the month came on December 20, a hot day that reached 37.8C. As mentioned in a previous post, this was the hottest December day since 2005. The lowest maximum of the month was shared by Christmas Eve and Christmas Day when it reached only 21.5C. This was the warmest in the years since 2009.
The graph above shows that even though there was a lower number of days above 30C for December 2013 compared to 2012, which has the second warmest December average maximum since 2009, the lack of cooler days helped to maintain a higher average maximum. If we look at the days above 30C for the years 2009, 2012 and 2013, the latter actually has the highest average, also helping to increase the overall average maximum for the month. The 6 days above 30C for 2009 had an average of 31.8C while 2012's was 32.8C and 2013's was 33.7C.
The monthly rainfall recording of 56.2mm was below the long term average of 73.5mm. Almost 40% of the monthly total, 21.8mm, fell in the 24 hours to 9am on December 16. BoM recorded no sunshine at the Airport on December 24 and 25, the only 2 days of the month without any sun, with Christmas Day accounting for another 15mm of rain.
The strongest wind gust of the month was a westerly at 95km/h, recorded during the afternoon of December 5. This equalled the record for the year; the other instance on October 29. The morning of Sunday December 29 also saw strong gusts. A southerly at 89km/h was the highest recorded.
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| December averages at Sydney Airport for the period 2009-2013 |
While the average maximum was the highest, the average minimum was the second lowest. Only 2011's cool December was lower. However, the figure was still above the long term average of 17.5C.
The lowest temperature of the month of 13.1C came on December 6, also the second lowest in the years since 2009. The highest daily minimum of 21.6C came on December 22, right in the middle for the past 5 years. The highest temperature of the month came on December 20, a hot day that reached 37.8C. As mentioned in a previous post, this was the hottest December day since 2005. The lowest maximum of the month was shared by Christmas Eve and Christmas Day when it reached only 21.5C. This was the warmest in the years since 2009.
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| Number of December days at certain temperature levels for the period 2009-2013 |
The graph above shows that even though there was a lower number of days above 30C for December 2013 compared to 2012, which has the second warmest December average maximum since 2009, the lack of cooler days helped to maintain a higher average maximum. If we look at the days above 30C for the years 2009, 2012 and 2013, the latter actually has the highest average, also helping to increase the overall average maximum for the month. The 6 days above 30C for 2009 had an average of 31.8C while 2012's was 32.8C and 2013's was 33.7C.
The monthly rainfall recording of 56.2mm was below the long term average of 73.5mm. Almost 40% of the monthly total, 21.8mm, fell in the 24 hours to 9am on December 16. BoM recorded no sunshine at the Airport on December 24 and 25, the only 2 days of the month without any sun, with Christmas Day accounting for another 15mm of rain.
The strongest wind gust of the month was a westerly at 95km/h, recorded during the afternoon of December 5. This equalled the record for the year; the other instance on October 29. The morning of Sunday December 29 also saw strong gusts. A southerly at 89km/h was the highest recorded.
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